Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | TA&M -5000 PV +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +20 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -11.6 (+8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (+8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -10.7 (+9.3) | 142.9 (+9.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -14.0 (+6.0) | 141.7 (+10.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -10.1 (+9.9) | 143.0 (+9.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -11.0 (+9.0) | 142.8 (+9.2) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2025 | TA&M 111 – 82 PV |
| Dec 31, 2023 | TA&M 79 – 54 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-1 | 9-3 |
| Away | 7-4 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#102) | -2.7 (#220) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#145) | -0.89 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#126) | -0.72 (#227) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#147) | 0.474 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 34.4% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.6% | 34.2% |
Game Analysis
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