Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -29.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 177.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +29 | 193 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -24.2 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 176.8 (+16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -25.3 (+3.7) | 161.3 (+31.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -21.0 (+8.0) | 162.0 (+31.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -25.1 (+3.9) | 163.2 (+29.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -26.1 (+2.9) | 164.7 (+28.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2023 | TA&M 79 – 54 PV |
| Dec 31, 2022 | TA&M 86 – 66 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 19-18 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-4 | 10-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.1 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.9 | 78.9 |
| Massey | 12.2 (#41) | -7.9 (#289) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#65) | -2.03 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.05 (#75) | -2.82 (#323) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#116) | 0.448 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.80 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.8% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 31.1% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 56.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 61.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 43.3% |
Game Analysis
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