He is handing the money / He is serving the food / He knows about your party / He is calling you dude. "Comfort Eagle" - Cake
Reed Arena · December 31, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread TA&M -28.0 Away covered
O/U 146.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total TA&M win
Actual TA&M +25 133 Won
Massey TA&M -24.0 (+1.0)
Massey Totals 145.9 (-12.9)
Bradley-Terry 97%
Weighted B-T 99%
Efficiency Plus ML TA&M -23.1 (+1.9) 140.7 (-7.7) 91%
Baseline Tuned ML TA&M -19.7 (+5.3) 144.1 (-11.1) 91%
Baseline ML TA&M -23.4 (+1.6) 144.1 (-11.1) 91%
Baseline Plus ML TA&M -23.2 (+1.8) 145.1 (-12.1) 91%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 30, 2025 TA&M 11182 PV
Dec 31, 2022 TA&M 8666 PV

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TA&M PV
Overall 21-15 10-21
Conference 9-9 5-13
Home 10-5 5-6
Away 6-6 4-15
Neutral 5-4 1-0
Last 5 2-3 0-5
Streak L1 L7
Avg Pts For 76.0 68.8
Avg Pts Against 72.0 77.3
Massey 13.1 (#29) -6.4 (#281)
Bradley-Terry 2.21 (#30) -0.41 (#225)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.91 (#32) -0.63 (#231)
RPI 0.606 (#31) 0.477 (#216)
Shooting & Four Factors TA&M PV
FG% 42.1% 38.4%
3PT% 28.6% 31.5%
REB / G 41.4 33.2
OREB / G 17.8 11.5
AST / TO 1.33 0.69
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.6% 42.4%
TOV% 14.6% 17.6%
ORB% 45.1% 27.7%
FT Rate 25.3% 24.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.9% 54.0%
Opp TOV% 18.4% 21.7%
DRB% 70.2% 65.2%
Opp FT Rate 22.8% 39.0%

Game Analysis

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