Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | NE -350 STBK +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +4 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | NE -9.9 (-13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -7.0 (-11.0) | 131.1 (-5.1) | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -6.1 (-10.1) | 133.2 (-7.2) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -7.2 (-11.2) | 132.7 (-6.7) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NE -7.4 (-11.4) | 133.0 (-7.0) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | STBK 69 – 55 NE |
| Jan 23, 2026 | STBK 95 – 80 NE |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NE 71 – 60 STBK |
| Jan 12, 2025 | NE 70 – 66 STBK |
| Mar 9, 2024 | STBK 75 – 65 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-6 | 7-7 |
| Away | 3-12 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 61.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#266) | -10.2 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#236) | -1.92 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#242) | -2.59 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#226) | 0.402 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 20.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.1% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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