Betting Lines
| Spread | ODU -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | ODU -110 UL +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ODU +4 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | ODU -3.6 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (-11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ODU -1.8 (+2.2) | 144.8 (-8.8) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ODU -1.6 (+2.4) | 142.3 (-6.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ODU -2.0 (+2.0) | 144.8 (-8.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ODU -1.6 (+2.4) | 145.2 (-9.2) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2026 | ODU 83 – 72 UL |
| Mar 6, 2025 | ODU 67 – 49 UL |
| Jan 10, 2025 | ODU 71 – 60 UL |
| Feb 16, 2024 | UL 68 – 60 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | UL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 13-5 |
| Home | 12-4 | 14-0 |
| Away | 6-5 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#168) | 1.3 (#146) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#151) | 1.19 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#153) | 1.63 (#83) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#102) | 0.562 (#73) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | UL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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