Betting Lines
| Spread | UL -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | UL -185 ODU +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ODU +11 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | UL -5.9 (-16.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (-18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UL -4.9 (-15.9) | 142.1 (-11.1) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UL -3.7 (-14.7) | 142.5 (-11.5) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UL -3.8 (-14.8) | 142.4 (-11.4) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UL -3.7 (-14.7) | 143.2 (-12.2) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2026 | ODU 83 – 72 UL |
| Mar 6, 2025 | ODU 67 – 49 UL |
| Feb 16, 2024 | UL 68 – 60 ODU |
| Dec 31, 2022 | ODU 70 – 66 UL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UL | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 15-20 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 5-12 | 7-9 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 72.8 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#333) | -12.9 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#307) | -1.78 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.16 (#306) | -1.99 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#274) | 0.415 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UL | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 27.4% |
| REB / G | 29.4 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 14.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 63.8% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.5% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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