Betting Lines
| Spread | ODU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | ODU -305 UL +245 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ODU +11 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | ODU -7.7 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (+20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ODU -4.0 (+7.0) | 136.6 (+18.4) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ODU -5.4 (+5.6) | 134.8 (+20.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ODU -5.1 (+5.9) | 135.9 (+19.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ODU -4.8 (+6.2) | 136.8 (+18.2) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2025 | ODU 67 – 49 UL |
| Jan 10, 2025 | ODU 71 – 60 UL |
| Feb 16, 2024 | UL 68 – 60 ODU |
| Dec 31, 2022 | ODU 70 – 66 UL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | UL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-6 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-14 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 63.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#246) | -9.9 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#262) | -1.31 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.34 (#267) | -1.82 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#246) | 0.448 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | UL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.5% | 33.1% |
Game Analysis
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