Betting Lines
| Spread | UL -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | ODU +155 UL -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UL +8 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | UL -5.9 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (-18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UL -5.6 (-2.4) | 144.6 (-16.6) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UL -6.1 (-1.9) | 144.7 (-16.7) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UL -6.8 (-1.2) | 142.0 (-14.0) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UL -6.1 (-1.9) | 142.0 (-14.0) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2026 | ODU 83 – 72 UL |
| Mar 6, 2025 | ODU 67 – 49 UL |
| Jan 10, 2025 | ODU 71 – 60 UL |
| Dec 31, 2022 | ODU 70 – 66 UL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | UL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 10-8 |
| Home | 5-10 | 11-3 |
| Away | 1-12 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#277) | 3.1 (#123) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#320) | 0.45 (#133) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.72 (#300) | 0.61 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.404 (#331) | 0.542 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | UL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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