Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -20.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | GONZ -10000 PEPP +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +23 | 199 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -14.5 (+8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.6 (+38.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -13.1 (+9.9) | 160.3 (+38.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -16.6 (+6.4) | 160.3 (+38.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -13.6 (+9.4) | 157.6 (+41.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -13.9 (+9.1) | 157.9 (+41.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | GONZ 84 – 60 PEPP |
| Dec 29, 2025 | GONZ 96 – 56 PEPP |
| Feb 16, 2025 | GONZ 107 – 55 PEPP |
| Dec 31, 2024 | GONZ 89 – 82 PEPP |
| Jan 19, 2024 | GONZ 86 – 61 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-6 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 2-14 |
| Home | 15-1 | 8-8 |
| Away | 7-2 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 9-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 85.2 | 76.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 81.8 |
| Massey | 13.1 (#18) | 3.3 (#115) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.15 (#10) | -0.10 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.36 (#7) | 0.23 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.669 (#3) | 0.497 (#181) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.1% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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