Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -25.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | GONZ -20000 PEPP +3000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +52 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -26.1 (+25.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.9 (+2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -26.0 (+26.0) | 157.5 (+4.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -23.6 (+28.4) | 157.3 (+4.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -21.5 (+30.5) | 156.8 (+5.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -24.8 (+27.2) | 157.2 (+4.8) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | GONZ 84 – 60 PEPP |
| Dec 29, 2025 | GONZ 96 – 56 PEPP |
| Dec 31, 2024 | GONZ 89 – 82 PEPP |
| Jan 19, 2024 | GONZ 86 – 61 PEPP |
| Jan 5, 2024 | GONZ 86 – 60 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 13-22 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 4-14 |
| Home | 13-2 | 7-9 |
| Away | 7-2 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 6-5 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.4 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 77.2 |
| Massey | 19.7 (#11) | -3.2 (#220) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.02 (#47) | -1.16 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.88 (#43) | -1.23 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#41) | 0.447 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 2.01 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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