Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -29.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | PEPP +2000 GONZ -6500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PEPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +40 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | GONZ -27.2 (-12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (+5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -15.2 (-24.8) | 145.1 (+6.9) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -13.2 (-26.8) | 146.3 (+5.7) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -13.2 (-26.8) | 141.4 (+10.6) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -15.5 (-24.5) | 142.7 (+9.3) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | GONZ 84 – 60 PEPP |
| Feb 16, 2025 | GONZ 107 – 55 PEPP |
| Dec 31, 2024 | GONZ 89 – 82 PEPP |
| Jan 19, 2024 | GONZ 86 – 61 PEPP |
| Jan 5, 2024 | GONZ 86 – 60 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PEPP | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 31-4 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 16-2 |
| Home | 7-10 | 15-0 |
| Away | 2-11 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 8-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 84.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 66.2 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#240) | 26.6 (#2) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#270) | 4.46 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#256) | 6.50 (#9) |
| RPI | 0.404 (#322) | 0.649 (#15) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PEPP | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 52.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 43.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 57.8% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 37.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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