And I'm so pilled up that I rattle. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
Convocation Center (OH) · December 31, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread OHIO -12.5 Home covered
O/U 140.5 Under
Money OHIO -700 / CHST +550
Model Predictions
Spread Total OHIO win
Actual OHIO +17 135 Won
Massey OHIO -12.1 (+4.9) — —
Massey Totals — 142.6 (-7.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 96% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 98% ✓
Baseline Plus ML OHIO -11.1 (+5.9) 141.6 (-6.6) 83% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ OHIO -12.7 (+4.3) 141.4 (-6.4) 85% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML OHIO -10.2 (+6.8) 142.7 (-7.7) 83% ✓
Baseline ML OHIO -10.8 (+6.2) 143.9 (-8.9) 83% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 25, 2020 OHIO 84 – 61 CHST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OHIO CHST
Overall 19-14 11-20
Conference 10-8 0-0
Home 14-1 8-0
Away 4-11 3-20
Neutral 1-2 0-0
Last 5 3-2 0-5
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 77.8 66.5
Avg Pts Against 74.0 74.3
Massey 2.0 (#134) -5.5 (#273)
Bradley-Terry 0.68 (#114) -1.51 (#307)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.95 (#107) -1.74 (#298)
RPI 0.521 (#137) 0.413 (#318)
Shooting & Four Factors OHIO CHST
FG% 44.9% 40.7%
3PT% 36.2% 32.6%
REB / G 38.0 33.4
OREB / G 12.3 11.2
AST / TO 1.11 0.74
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.6% 47.4%
TOV% 17.6% 21.7%
ORB% 34.2% 32.8%
FT Rate 16.0% 24.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.9% 51.5%
Opp TOV% 16.7% 17.1%
DRB% 69.7% 65.3%
Opp FT Rate 18.8% 25.2%

Game Analysis

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