Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | UNT -1600 FIU +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +15 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | UNT -20.2 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -17.8 (-2.8) | 121.9 (+7.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -18.0 (-3.0) | 127.3 (+1.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -15.7 (-0.7) | 128.8 (+0.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -17.9 (-2.9) | 129.3 (-0.3) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2023 | UNT 64 – 57 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNT | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-7 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 8-12 |
| Home | 14-2 | 11-7 |
| Away | 10-3 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 56.3 | 75.5 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#61) | -6.8 (#294) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.83 (#45) | -1.43 (#300) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.46 (#48) | -2.00 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.603 (#32) | 0.420 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNT | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.5% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.8% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 23.3% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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