I remember one night the kid cut off his right arm in a bid to save a bit of power. "So It Goes" - Nick Lowe
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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49–26 on winners spread MAE 8.4 75 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Binghamton @ Cornell +16.7 151.6 88% 70–86 ✓
UTSA @ Louisiana Tech +11.3 149.2 85% 69–91 ✓
Rice @ Western Kentucky +1.6 150.0 55% 81–78 ✗
Iowa @ Nebraska -0.8 146.3 55% 50–66 ✗
Central Michigan @ Michigan +16.3 147.2 87% 63–61 ✗
UMBC @ Maryland +16.8 143.7 88% 64–80 ✓
VMI @ Furman +10.7 146.6 87% 62–85 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Wofford +7.5 133.2 70% 73–71 ✗
Chattanooga @ The Citadel -6.3 146.7 31% 68–76 ✗
Central Connecticut @ Saint Francis +1.7 142.5 55% 72–80 ✓
Merrimack @ Fairleigh Dickinson +5.6 135.5 72% 63–71 ✓
Arkansas State @ Old Dominion +8.4 126.5 81% 60–57 ✗
James Madison @ Georgia State -8.0 142.1 23% 63–47 ✓
Louisiana @ Coastal Carolina -2.1 150.5 45% 76–77 ✗
App State @ Marshall +11.3 146.2 83% 53–79 ✓
Wright State @ Northern Kentucky +2.0 138.7 59% 64–78 ✓
Milwaukee @ Oakland -2.4 152.3 56% 61–83 ✗
Green Bay @ Detroit Mercy +14.4 140.0 89% 59–76 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Robert Morris -1.3 139.1 37% 70–75 ✗
North Carolina A&T @ Northeastern +3.3 138.2 72% 76–88 ✓
Hampton @ Charleston +18.8 152.6 90% 61–89 ✓
Hofstra @ Delaware +0.4 147.9 54% 87–73 ✗
UTEP @ UAB +14.8 147.2 89% 73–79 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Stephen F. Austin +4.9 143.6 73% 68–75 ✓
South Florida @ Memphis +15.0 143.1 87% 86–93 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Murray State +3.1 136.2 65% 63–57 ✗
Evansville @ Indiana State +11.1 147.0 86% 63–91 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ North Texas +3.4 118.2 59% 50–46 ✗
Georgetown @ DePaul +4.5 156.4 74% 76–83 ✓
UT Arlington @ Tarleton State +7.0 134.1 80% 63–70 ✓
Sam Houston @ Utah Valley -2.4 134.5 45% 64–80 ✗
California Baptist @ Grand Canyon +6.9 130.7 73% 59–73 ✓
Troy @ Southern Miss +5.0 143.6 77% 60–64 ✓
UL Monroe @ Texas State +11.6 132.8 80% 57–53 ✗
South Alabama @ Georgia Southern -2.7 131.3 43% 50–64 ✗
Western Illinois @ South Dakota State +5.8 143.4 73% 64–71 ✓
St. Thomas @ South Dakota -5.5 141.6 43% 84–92 ✗
Oral Roberts @ Omaha -9.9 155.5 16% 92–89 ✓
Cleveland State @ Youngstown State +5.4 142.0 70% 71–85 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Riverside +9.2 129.1 84% 59–71 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Illinois +27.1 146.6 91% 52–85 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ SIU Edwardsville +10.7 144.4 86% 51–64 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Southern Indiana +5.0 151.7 75% 81–86 ✓
UT Martin @ Little Rock +1.0 156.8 59% 74–88 ✓
Lindenwood @ Eastern Illinois +3.0 142.9 64% 54–55 ✓
Tulane @ Cincinnati +7.0 152.0 78% 77–88 ✓
Valparaiso @ Drake +13.2 140.2 88% 63–68 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Utah Tech +11.7 153.0 87% 66–81 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Portland +1.8 148.9 59% 92–72 ✗
San Diego @ Saint Mary's +17.9 139.6 89% 58–85 ✓
BYU @ Pacific -2.5 147.9 29% 69–49 ✓
Kansas City @ Denver +2.2 134.0 59% 83–85 ✓
Morehead State @ Tennessee State +2.3 139.0 61% 83–75 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal State Fullerton -2.1 130.6 43% 66–58 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Weber State +2.6 141.9 72% 72–81 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Idaho State +2.2 142.9 65% 53–79 ✓
Idaho @ Montana State +10.3 143.3 84% 58–72 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Montana +3.0 137.8 60% 87–80 ✗
Utah @ California -11.3 129.8 20% 58–43 ✓
San Francisco @ Santa Clara +2.1 148.2 62% 67–79 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Cal Poly +3.0 125.5 68% 57–67 ✓
UC San Diego @ Long Beach State +9.0 138.7 79% 85–83 ✗
Colorado @ Stanford +1.1 140.8 52% 73–70 ✗
UC Davis @ Hawai'i +5.6 138.4 71% 66–74 ✓
North Carolina @ Pittsburgh -0.3 154.9 54% 74–76 ✗
Miami @ Notre Dame -2.2 142.7 31% 76–65 ✓
Bucknell @ Holy Cross -5.1 134.6 34% 58–60 ✗
Navy @ Boston University +1.0 138.2 50% 75–58 ✗
Manhattan @ Saint Peter's +6.2 130.7 72% 57–67 ✓
Stetson @ Lipscomb +2.6 144.1 55% 86–80 ✗
NC State @ Clemson +2.5 148.3 63% 64–78 ✓
Siena @ Quinnipiac +4.0 136.0 64% 83–76 ✗
Lehigh @ Army +5.0 145.1 74% 78–80 ✓
Buffalo @ Michigan State +11.2 144.9 86% 68–89 ✓
Morgan State @ Hartford -9.7 133.0 20% 61–54 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.