Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | PAC +275 BYU -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +20 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | PAC -0.5 (-20.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.1 (-39.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -2.5 (-17.5) | 147.9 (-29.9) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -0.4 (-19.6) | 151.2 (-33.2) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -0.2 (-19.8) | 151.8 (-33.8) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -0.3 (-19.7) | 151.2 (-33.2) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2025 | BYU 93 – 57 PAC |
| Feb 5, 2023 | BYU 81 – 66 PAC |
| Jan 30, 2022 | PAC 76 – 73 BYU |
| Jan 7, 2022 | BYU 73 – 51 PAC |
| Feb 19, 2021 | BYU 80 – 52 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 7-9 |
| Home | 7-10 | 12-4 |
| Away | 7-7 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.4 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#203) | 2.6 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#268) | 0.52 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#265) | 1.01 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#309) | 0.502 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 41.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 77.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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