Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -23.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | BYU -5000 PAC +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +36 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -19.7 (+16.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (+7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -19.8 (+16.2) | 139.7 (+10.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -20.5 (+15.5) | 140.7 (+9.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -18.7 (+17.3) | 139.8 (+10.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -19.9 (+16.1) | 139.1 (+10.9) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2023 | BYU 81 – 66 PAC |
| Dec 30, 2022 | BYU 69 – 49 PAC |
| Jan 30, 2022 | PAC 76 – 73 BYU |
| Jan 7, 2022 | BYU 73 – 51 PAC |
| Feb 19, 2021 | BYU 80 – 52 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-3 |
| Away | 3-6 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.5 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 20.9 (#8) | 5.6 (#100) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.71 (#11) | 1.48 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.27 (#12) | 2.01 (#73) |
| RPI | 0.701 (#3) | 0.566 (#73) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.5% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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