Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -14.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PAC +3 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -15.5 (+18.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (+13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -12.8 (+15.8) | 139.8 (+9.2) | 19% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -14.0 (+17.0) | 137.1 (+11.9) | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -13.7 (+16.7) | 138.8 (+10.2) | 14% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -14.6 (+17.6) | 139.0 (+10.0) | 15% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2025 | BYU 93 – 57 PAC |
| Feb 5, 2023 | BYU 81 – 66 PAC |
| Dec 30, 2022 | BYU 69 – 49 PAC |
| Jan 7, 2022 | BYU 73 – 51 PAC |
| Feb 19, 2021 | BYU 80 – 52 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-22 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 9-6 |
| Home | 7-7 | 14-3 |
| Away | 0-13 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#294) | 11.4 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.10 (#325) | 2.27 (#36) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.37 (#316) | 3.07 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.394 (#329) | 0.635 (#11) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 77.2% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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