Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | UAB -1600 UTEP +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +6 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -17.8 (-11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (+1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -14.1 (-8.1) | 148.6 (+3.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -14.8 (-8.8) | 147.2 (+4.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -13.0 (-7.0) | 148.1 (+3.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -14.0 (-8.0) | 148.1 (+3.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2025 | UAB 75 – 59 UTEP |
| Feb 17, 2023 | UAB 79 – 66 UTEP |
| Feb 27, 2022 | UAB 69 – 66 UTEP |
| Dec 31, 2021 | UAB 75 – 62 UTEP |
| Feb 6, 2021 | UAB 75 – 60 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-10 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 7-13 |
| Home | 17-2 | 11-7 |
| Away | 7-5 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.0 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#41) | -2.4 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#53) | 0.34 (#150) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.15 (#60) | 0.41 (#145) |
| RPI | 0.591 (#47) | 0.485 (#208) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 25.3% |
| REB / G | 42.2 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.9 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 22.9% |
| ORB% | 37.9% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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