Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | UTEP +250 UAB -320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +3 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | UAB -8.2 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -4.8 (+1.8) | 141.4 (-6.4) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -6.0 (+3.0) | 141.4 (-6.4) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -4.8 (+1.8) | 142.3 (-7.3) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -5.1 (+2.1) | 141.3 (-6.3) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2025 | UAB 75 – 59 UTEP |
| Feb 17, 2023 | UAB 79 – 66 UTEP |
| Dec 30, 2022 | UAB 79 – 73 UTEP |
| Dec 31, 2021 | UAB 75 – 62 UTEP |
| Feb 6, 2021 | UAB 75 – 60 UTEP |
Game Analysis
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