Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +16 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -12.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (-3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -8.5 (+7.5) | 136.5 (-2.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -10.4 (+5.6) | 133.2 (+0.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -8.3 (+7.7) | 133.3 (+0.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -8.7 (+7.3) | 133.8 (+0.2) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2023 | UAB 79 – 66 UTEP |
| Dec 30, 2022 | UAB 79 – 73 UTEP |
| Feb 27, 2022 | UAB 69 – 66 UTEP |
| Dec 31, 2021 | UAB 75 – 62 UTEP |
| Feb 6, 2021 | UAB 75 – 60 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-13 |
| Home | 8-9 | 9-7 |
| Away | 10-2 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#88) | -6.0 (#269) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#120) | -1.19 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#111) | -1.60 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#106) | 0.524 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 36.4% |
| 3PT% | 26.8% | 27.4% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 27.3 |
| OREB / G | 14.5 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 41.3% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 58.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 26.8% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 62.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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