Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | UAB -350 UTEP +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +15 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -10.9 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (-1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -12.3 (+2.7) | 137.0 (-2.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -9.6 (+5.4) | 132.8 (+2.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -12.7 (+2.3) | 136.3 (-1.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -11.8 (+3.2) | 134.9 (+0.1) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2025 | UAB 75 – 59 UTEP |
| Feb 17, 2023 | UAB 79 – 66 UTEP |
| Dec 30, 2022 | UAB 79 – 73 UTEP |
| Feb 27, 2022 | UAB 69 – 66 UTEP |
| Dec 31, 2021 | UAB 75 – 62 UTEP |
Game Analysis
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