Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +13 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -15.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (+0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -15.0 (-2.0) | 142.2 (-5.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -13.1 (-0.1) | 138.2 (-1.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -15.1 (-2.1) | 140.7 (-3.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -14.8 (-1.8) | 140.7 (-3.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2025 | UAB 75 – 59 UTEP |
| Feb 17, 2023 | UAB 79 – 66 UTEP |
| Dec 30, 2022 | UAB 79 – 73 UTEP |
| Feb 27, 2022 | UAB 69 – 66 UTEP |
| Feb 6, 2021 | UAB 75 – 60 UTEP |
Game Analysis
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