Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | UTEP +188 UAB -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +13 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | UAB -5.7 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (-1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -5.2 (-7.8) | 146.2 (-1.2) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -5.3 (-7.7) | 140.9 (+4.1) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -6.0 (-7.0) | 144.1 (+0.9) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -5.3 (-7.7) | 145.5 (-0.5) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2025 | UAB 75 – 59 UTEP |
| Dec 30, 2022 | UAB 79 – 73 UTEP |
| Feb 27, 2022 | UAB 69 – 66 UTEP |
| Dec 31, 2021 | UAB 75 – 62 UTEP |
| Feb 6, 2021 | UAB 75 – 60 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 29-10 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-7 | 17-2 |
| Away | 3-10 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 80.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#187) | 8.7 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#187) | 1.22 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#190) | 1.70 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#180) | 0.542 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 26.8% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 41.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 14.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 37.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.