The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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33–10 on winners spread MAE 7.5 43 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Kentucky @ Missouri +0.9 154.5 63% 75–89 ✓
Florida @ Auburn +6.2 144.8 79% 58–61 ✓
Chicago State @ Ball State +9.8 139.2 86% 63–70 ✓
Wichita State @ UCF +7.9 128.6 78% 45–52 ✓
Temple @ East Carolina +3.6 137.9 67% 59–57 ✗
Coppin State @ Richmond +14.7 151.8 89% 65–83 ✓
Harvard @ Maine -2.6 132.6 36% 74–73 ✓
Duquesne @ Dayton +9.0 135.7 78% 57–69 ✓
Davidson @ Fordham +3.1 147.1 70% 57–43 ✗
Rider @ Georgia +7.4 136.7 75% 72–78 ✓
Mercer @ Samford +3.1 142.1 70% 69–78 ✓
Nicholls @ Baylor +19.9 150.2 90% 56–85 ✓
Missouri State @ Northern Iowa -0.1 127.4 44% 79–67 ✓
Illinois State @ UIC +1.7 138.2 59% 51–55 ✓
Bradley @ Belmont +0.2 134.6 48% 60–63 ✓
Houston @ Tulsa -14.2 130.5 12% 89–50 ✓
Alabama @ Mississippi State -0.2 139.0 46% 78–67 ✓
Arkansas @ LSU -4.4 141.1 41% 57–60 ✗
Xavier @ St. John's -0.1 154.4 43% 84–79 ✓
Colorado State @ New Mexico +8.5 149.0 80% 69–88 ✓
Southern Utah @ New Mexico State +6.9 153.1 74% 79–75 ✗
UNLV @ San José State -4.4 133.5 42% 72–75 ✗
Boise State @ Nevada +1.5 133.6 67% 72–74 ✓
Wyoming @ Fresno State +4.1 127.4 67% 53–58 ✓
Air Force @ San Diego State +14.6 132.2 88% 55–71 ✓
Brown @ Northwestern +15.8 127.9 87% 58–63 ✓
Wagner @ Long Island University -10.9 134.1 16% 69–61 ✓
La Salle @ Howard +2.1 137.8 58% 80–76 ✗
Delaware State @ Penn State +23.8 139.7 91% 46–60 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Western Carolina -1.4 134.1 40% 72–47 ✓
Stonehill @ Sacred Heart +0.8 145.1 58% 74–67 ✗
Alabama A&M @ Ohio State +26.3 149.6 91% 59–90 ✓
High Point @ Longwood +7.7 152.5 79% 73–87 ✓
Radford @ UNC Asheville +2.3 147.0 56% 58–62 ✓
Elon @ Drexel +11.6 136.7 84% 50–62 ✓
Florida A&M @ Purdue +26.1 133.0 91% 49–82 ✓
Winthrop @ South Carolina Upstate -0.5 143.7 56% 62–70 ✗
Charleston Southern @ Gardner-Webb +9.4 137.3 82% 63–83 ✓
Campbell @ Presbyterian -3.3 128.6 36% 72–82 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ Charlotte +4.5 130.4 64% 67–82 ✓
Austin Peay @ Queens University +10.2 137.4 84% 77–81 ✓
Providence @ Butler +1.5 143.4 52% 72–52 ✗
Liberty @ Bellarmine -8.0 127.5 22% 70–53 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.