Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Under |
| Money | BELL +275 LIB -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BELL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +17 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | LIB -6.4 (-10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -8.1 (-8.9) | 129.3 (-6.3) | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -8.0 (-9.0) | 127.5 (-4.5) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -7.4 (-9.6) | 132.1 (-9.1) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -8.1 (-8.9) | 133.5 (-10.5) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2023 | LIB 76 – 56 BELL |
| Feb 10, 2023 | LIB 70 – 50 BELL |
| Mar 5, 2022 | BELL 53 – 50 LIB |
| Feb 3, 2022 | LIB 66 – 53 BELL |
| Feb 27, 2021 | LIB 94 – 78 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BELL | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 15-3 |
| Home | 8-6 | 19-1 |
| Away | 6-12 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.5 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 62.3 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#266) | 6.1 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#305) | 1.26 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.94 (#304) | 1.76 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#257) | 0.558 (#78) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BELL | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 27.5 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 20.3% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 76.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.0% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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