Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Under |
| Money | LIB -1000 BELL +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +20 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -18.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -16.5 (+3.5) | 130.0 (-10.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -15.4 (+4.6) | 129.2 (-9.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -14.8 (+5.2) | 132.2 (-12.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -15.5 (+4.5) | 132.0 (-12.0) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2023 | LIB 76 – 56 BELL |
| Dec 29, 2022 | LIB 70 – 53 BELL |
| Mar 5, 2022 | BELL 53 – 50 LIB |
| Feb 3, 2022 | LIB 66 – 53 BELL |
| Feb 27, 2021 | LIB 94 – 78 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 9-9 |
| Home | 19-1 | 8-6 |
| Away | 6-7 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.3 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#53) | -5.2 (#257) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.36 (#65) | -0.54 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#69) | -0.76 (#238) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#48) | 0.483 (#214) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 28.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 5.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 19.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 79.6% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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