Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | BELL +170 LIB -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BELL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +13 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | LIB -2.3 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.5 (-12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -0.6 (-12.4) | 134.2 (-15.2) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -1.7 (-11.3) | 131.1 (-12.1) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -0.4 (-12.6) | 134.9 (-15.9) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -1.1 (-11.9) | 134.8 (-15.8) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2023 | LIB 76 – 56 BELL |
| Feb 10, 2023 | LIB 70 – 50 BELL |
| Dec 29, 2022 | LIB 70 – 53 BELL |
| Mar 5, 2022 | BELL 53 – 50 LIB |
| Feb 27, 2021 | LIB 94 – 78 BELL |
Game Analysis
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