Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Over |
| Money | BELL +134 LIB -158 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BELL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +16 | 172 | Lost |
| Massey | LIB -2.3 (-13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.9 (+41.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -2.5 (-13.5) | 132.3 (+39.7) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -1.4 (-14.6) | 127.5 (+44.5) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -1.1 (-14.9) | 132.0 (+40.0) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -1.2 (-14.8) | 133.8 (+38.2) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2023 | LIB 76 – 56 BELL |
| Feb 10, 2023 | LIB 70 – 50 BELL |
| Dec 29, 2022 | LIB 70 – 53 BELL |
| Mar 5, 2022 | BELL 53 – 50 LIB |
| Feb 3, 2022 | LIB 66 – 53 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BELL | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-8 | 23-6 |
| Conference | 10-3 | 11-2 |
| Home | 6-4 | 13-0 |
| Away | 7-2 | 5-3 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 62.5 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#156) | 5.3 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#177) | 0.66 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#182) | 0.97 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#148) | 0.522 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BELL | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.6% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 77.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.