Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | LIB -2500 BELL +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +20 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -18.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.1 (+6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -16.4 (+3.6) | 134.0 (-2.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -14.7 (+5.3) | 132.7 (-0.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -15.1 (+4.9) | 135.3 (-3.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -15.9 (+4.1) | 135.8 (-3.8) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2023 | LIB 70 – 50 BELL |
| Dec 29, 2022 | LIB 70 – 53 BELL |
| Mar 5, 2022 | BELL 53 – 50 LIB |
| Feb 3, 2022 | LIB 66 – 53 BELL |
| Feb 27, 2021 | LIB 94 – 78 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 9-9 |
| Home | 19-1 | 8-6 |
| Away | 6-7 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.3 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 9.5 (#52) | -5.4 (#262) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.52 (#61) | -0.21 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#63) | -0.57 (#221) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#29) | 0.493 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 28.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 6.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 21.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 79.4% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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