Betting Lines
| Spread | UNM -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | UNM -300 CSU +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNM +19 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | UNM -11.0 (+8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (+8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -11.3 (+7.7) | 150.5 (+6.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNM -8.5 (+10.5) | 149.0 (+8.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNM -11.0 (+8.0) | 150.2 (+6.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNM -10.8 (+8.2) | 150.3 (+6.7) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | CSU 82 – 74 UNM |
| Jan 7, 2026 | UNM 80 – 70 CSU |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UNM 87 – 65 CSU |
| Dec 28, 2024 | UNM 76 – 68 CSU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | UNM 74 – 61 CSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNM | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 6-12 |
| Home | 15-5 | 9-7 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.2 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 11.8 (#31) | 5.5 (#89) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.84 (#4) | 0.85 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.38 (#3) | 0.93 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.628 (#18) | 0.541 (#106) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNM | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 5.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 16.5% |
| FT Rate | 34.6% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.