Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | SHU -225 STO +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STO +7 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | SHU -4.0 (-11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -0.8 (-7.8) | 145.1 (-4.1) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -2.2 (-9.2) | 145.4 (-4.4) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -2.1 (-9.1) | 146.7 (-5.7) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -1.6 (-8.6) | 147.5 (-6.5) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2024 | SHU 79 – 51 STO |
| Feb 2, 2024 | SHU 77 – 72 STO |
| Jan 28, 2023 | STO 82 – 81 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | STO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 10-6 |
| Home | 9-6 | 7-4 |
| Away | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 70.4 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#317) | -8.1 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.63 (#311) | -1.60 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.26 (#314) | -2.34 (#317) |
| RPI | 0.398 (#325) | 0.465 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | STO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 28.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 5.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 16.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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