Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -21.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BAY +29 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | BAY -20.5 (+8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.1 (-12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BAY -19.9 (+9.1) | 150.2 (-9.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BAY -19.2 (+9.8) | 150.3 (-9.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BAY -20.1 (+8.9) | 150.0 (-9.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BAY -20.8 (+8.2) | 150.0 (-9.0) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2023 | BAY 108 – 70 NICH |
| Nov 15, 2021 | BAY 89 – 60 NICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BAY | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-2 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 75.6 |
| Massey | 13.3 (#15) | -2.4 (#226) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.77 (#16) | -0.64 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.08 (#27) | -0.87 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.622 (#24) | 0.484 (#208) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BAY | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 28.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 36.9% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.9% | 24.1% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 60.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 41.3% |
Game Analysis
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