Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -21.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | BAY -2000 NICH +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BAY +29 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | BAY -11.0 (+18.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BAY -8.7 (+20.3) | 139.8 (+9.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BAY -12.7 (+16.3) | 138.9 (+10.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BAY -13.9 (+15.1) | 141.7 (+7.3) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2023 | BAY 108 – 70 NICH |
| Dec 29, 2022 | BAY 85 – 56 NICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BAY | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-7 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 11-3 |
| Home | 15-2 | 11-1 |
| Away | 8-3 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.1 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#116) | 1.9 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#159) | 1.20 (#52) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#163) | 1.40 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.250 (#266) | 0.250 (#266) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BAY | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 17.0 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 44.7% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 14.1% | 13.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 33.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 29.7% | 11.6% |
| DRB% | 85.2% | 81.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 50.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.