Betting Lines
| Spread | UCF -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Under |
| Money | UCF -300 WICH +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCF +7 | 97 | Won |
| Massey | UCF -9.9 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 116.1 (-19.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCF -7.5 (-0.5) | 128.5 (-31.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCF -7.9 (-0.9) | 128.6 (-31.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCF -7.8 (-0.8) | 126.8 (-29.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCF -7.8 (-0.8) | 125.3 (-28.3) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 9, 2023 | UCF 72 – 67 WICH |
| Feb 9, 2022 | UCF 71 – 66 WICH |
| Jan 27, 2022 | WICH 84 – 79 UCF |
| Feb 11, 2021 | WICH 61 – 60 UCF |
| Jan 30, 2021 | WICH 93 – 88 UCF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCF | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-6 | 8-9 |
| Away | 5-7 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.5 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 8.6 (#63) | 3.5 (#109) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.66 (#54) | 0.38 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.72 (#41) | 0.65 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#55) | 0.513 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCF | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 36.7% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 41.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
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