Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | WICH -225 UCF +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +5 | 181 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -4.2 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (+42.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -5.1 (-0.1) | 137.6 (+43.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -4.3 (+0.7) | 135.0 (+46.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -5.0 (+0.0) | 137.1 (+43.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -5.3 (-0.3) | 138.0 (+43.0) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 9, 2023 | UCF 72 – 67 WICH |
| Dec 29, 2022 | UCF 52 – 45 WICH |
| Feb 9, 2022 | UCF 71 – 66 WICH |
| Jan 27, 2022 | WICH 84 – 79 UCF |
| Feb 11, 2021 | WICH 61 – 60 UCF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-6 | 11-12 |
| Conference | 11-2 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-2 | 6-3 |
| Away | 5-2 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#79) | 5.5 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.08 (#42) | 1.55 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.57 (#51) | 2.34 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.597 (#37) | 0.568 (#69) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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