Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | UCF +125 WICH -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +1 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | WICH -0.2 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (-26.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -0.1 (-0.9) | 147.7 (-26.7) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCF -0.2 (-1.2) | 146.5 (-25.5) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCF -0.9 (-1.9) | 146.5 (-25.5) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCF -0.6 (-1.6) | 147.0 (-26.0) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 9, 2023 | UCF 72 – 67 WICH |
| Dec 29, 2022 | UCF 52 – 45 WICH |
| Feb 9, 2022 | UCF 71 – 66 WICH |
| Jan 27, 2022 | WICH 84 – 79 UCF |
| Jan 30, 2021 | WICH 93 – 88 UCF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCF | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-12 | 16-6 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 11-2 |
| Home | 6-3 | 10-2 |
| Away | 4-8 | 5-2 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#117) | 6.3 (#89) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#80) | 2.22 (#37) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#81) | 2.63 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#89) | 0.594 (#34) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCF | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.