Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +5 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -3.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (+27.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -2.1 (+2.9) | 139.3 (+23.7) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -3.8 (+1.2) | 138.7 (+24.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -2.0 (+3.0) | 140.9 (+22.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -2.0 (+3.0) | 141.5 (+21.5) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 9, 2023 | UCF 72 – 67 WICH |
| Dec 29, 2022 | UCF 52 – 45 WICH |
| Feb 9, 2022 | UCF 71 – 66 WICH |
| Feb 11, 2021 | WICH 61 – 60 UCF |
| Jan 30, 2021 | WICH 93 – 88 UCF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-13 | 18-12 |
| Conference | 6-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-6 | 13-3 |
| Away | 3-5 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#85) | 6.0 (#90) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#113) | 1.53 (#68) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.22 (#103) | 1.87 (#69) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#109) | 0.559 (#79) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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