Betting Lines
| Spread | UCF -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCF +5 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | UCF -1.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.2 (+1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCF -1.7 (+3.3) | 136.1 (+0.9) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCF -1.6 (+3.4) | 134.6 (+2.4) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCF -1.8 (+3.2) | 136.2 (+0.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCF -1.4 (+3.6) | 137.1 (-0.1) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 9, 2023 | UCF 72 – 67 WICH |
| Dec 29, 2022 | UCF 52 – 45 WICH |
| Jan 27, 2022 | WICH 84 – 79 UCF |
| Feb 11, 2021 | WICH 61 – 60 UCF |
| Jan 30, 2021 | WICH 93 – 88 UCF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCF | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-12 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-9 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-6 |
| Away | 4-8 | 3-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#98) | 7.5 (#77) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#92) | 1.04 (#97) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#88) | 1.61 (#84) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#95) | 0.550 (#85) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCF | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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