Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | WICH -154 UCF +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCF +5 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | UCF -1.4 (-3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.1 (+8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCF -1.2 (-3.8) | 136.2 (+2.8) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCF -2.0 (-3.0) | 135.9 (+3.1) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCF -0.2 (-4.8) | 136.4 (+2.6) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCF -0.5 (-4.5) | 136.4 (+2.6) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 29, 2022 | UCF 52 – 45 WICH |
| Feb 9, 2022 | UCF 71 – 66 WICH |
| Jan 27, 2022 | WICH 84 – 79 UCF |
| Feb 11, 2021 | WICH 61 – 60 UCF |
| Jan 30, 2021 | WICH 93 – 88 UCF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-9 | 11-6 |
| Away | 7-4 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 65.5 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#122) | 8.1 (#69) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#148) | 1.05 (#79) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#140) | 1.38 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#147) | 0.553 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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