Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | UIC +100 ILST +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +4 | 106 | Won |
| Massey | UIC -4.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (-31.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -1.7 (+2.3) | 138.2 (-32.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -1.7 (+2.3) | 138.2 (-32.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -2.2 (+1.8) | 141.2 (-35.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -2.2 (+1.8) | 141.9 (-35.9) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | UIC 83 – 56 ILST |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UIC 63 – 59 ILST |
| Feb 6, 2025 | ILST 81 – 79 UIC |
| Dec 29, 2024 | UIC 73 – 67 ILST |
| Feb 8, 2024 | UIC 61 – 56 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 6-14 |
| Home | 7-8 | 8-7 |
| Away | 3-11 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#254) | -4.4 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#221) | -0.36 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#236) | -0.76 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#220) | 0.467 (#229) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 22.2% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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