Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | UNI -138 MOST +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MOST +12 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | MOST -0.2 (-11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.2 (+20.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MOST -0.1 (-11.9) | 127.4 (+18.6) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -0.6 (-12.6) | 130.6 (+15.4) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -0.2 (-12.2) | 131.4 (+14.6) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MOST -0.7 (-11.3) | 130.2 (+15.8) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2025 | UNI 66 – 61 MOST |
| Jan 22, 2025 | UNI 79 – 68 MOST |
| Feb 8, 2024 | UNI 72 – 65 MOST |
| Jan 4, 2024 | UNI 64 – 62 MOST |
| Feb 18, 2023 | UNI 69 – 66 MOST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 12-8 |
| Home | 8-8 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 63.7 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#211) | 3.1 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#295) | -0.32 (#208) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#240) | 0.05 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#293) | 0.485 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 15.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.3% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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