Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | MOST +160 UNI -190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MOST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +5 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | UNI -5.3 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (-11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -5.4 (+0.4) | 132.1 (-5.1) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -4.2 (-0.8) | 136.2 (-9.2) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -4.7 (-0.3) | 136.1 (-9.1) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -4.1 (-0.9) | 135.2 (-8.2) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2025 | UNI 79 – 68 MOST |
| Feb 8, 2024 | UNI 72 – 65 MOST |
| Jan 4, 2024 | UNI 64 – 62 MOST |
| Feb 18, 2023 | UNI 69 – 66 MOST |
| Dec 29, 2022 | MOST 79 – 67 UNI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MOST | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 14-6 |
| Home | 7-8 | 14-3 |
| Away | 1-12 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 67.8 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#225) | 4.8 (#101) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#258) | 0.64 (#119) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#232) | 0.75 (#120) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#273) | 0.538 (#105) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MOST | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 49.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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