Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | UNI -550 MOST +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +11 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | UNI -12.6 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -9.3 (+1.7) | 137.5 (+9.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -9.6 (+1.4) | 140.4 (+6.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -10.2 (+0.8) | 141.4 (+5.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -11.1 (-0.1) | 139.5 (+7.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2025 | UNI 66 – 61 MOST |
| Feb 8, 2024 | UNI 72 – 65 MOST |
| Jan 4, 2024 | UNI 64 – 62 MOST |
| Feb 18, 2023 | UNI 69 – 66 MOST |
| Dec 29, 2022 | MOST 79 – 67 UNI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 2-18 |
| Home | 14-3 | 7-8 |
| Away | 5-6 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#107) | -5.2 (#252) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#133) | -1.27 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#139) | -1.28 (#259) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#130) | 0.432 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.2% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.9% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 56.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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