Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | UNI -213 MOST +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +7 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | UNI -4.2 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (-5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -2.0 (+5.0) | 138.0 (-1.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -3.1 (+3.9) | 140.1 (-3.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -3.1 (+3.9) | 140.6 (-3.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -3.4 (+3.6) | 141.1 (-4.1) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2025 | UNI 66 – 61 MOST |
| Jan 22, 2025 | UNI 79 – 68 MOST |
| Jan 4, 2024 | UNI 64 – 62 MOST |
| Feb 18, 2023 | UNI 69 – 66 MOST |
| Dec 29, 2022 | MOST 79 – 67 UNI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 8-12 |
| Home | 11-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-8 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#130) | 1.6 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#117) | 0.67 (#119) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#117) | 0.69 (#129) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#103) | 0.530 (#118) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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