Betting Lines
| Spread | MOST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | MOST -130 UNI +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MOST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +2 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | MOST -5.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (-20.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MOST -3.5 (-5.5) | 142.6 (-16.6) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MOST -3.9 (-5.9) | 144.3 (-18.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MOST -3.3 (-5.3) | 145.7 (-19.7) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MOST -3.1 (-5.1) | 145.4 (-19.4) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2025 | UNI 66 – 61 MOST |
| Jan 22, 2025 | UNI 79 – 68 MOST |
| Feb 8, 2024 | UNI 72 – 65 MOST |
| Feb 18, 2023 | UNI 69 – 66 MOST |
| Dec 29, 2022 | MOST 79 – 67 UNI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MOST | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 12-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-3 |
| Away | 4-10 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#104) | 3.4 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#108) | 0.00 (#177) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#101) | 0.35 (#151) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#99) | 0.495 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MOST | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 40.6 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.4% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.1% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 76.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.