Betting Lines
| Spread | MOST -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | MOST -213 UNI +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MOST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +3 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | MOST -6.8 (-9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.5 (+6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MOST -6.0 (-9.0) | 127.7 (+7.3) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MOST -4.9 (-7.9) | 131.1 (+3.9) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MOST -5.3 (-8.3) | 131.9 (+3.1) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MOST -4.8 (-7.8) | 131.4 (+3.6) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2025 | UNI 66 – 61 MOST |
| Jan 22, 2025 | UNI 79 – 68 MOST |
| Feb 8, 2024 | UNI 72 – 65 MOST |
| Jan 4, 2024 | UNI 64 – 62 MOST |
| Dec 29, 2022 | MOST 79 – 67 UNI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MOST | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-11 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-8 |
| Away | 5-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.7 | 70.6 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#149) | -2.1 (#213) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#147) | -0.56 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#161) | -0.62 (#228) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#120) | 0.476 (#225) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MOST | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 78.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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