Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | FRES -111 WYO -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FRES +5 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | FRES -6.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.9 (-18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FRES -3.4 (+1.6) | 129.0 (-18.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FRES -4.1 (+0.9) | 127.4 (-16.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FRES -3.7 (+1.3) | 130.7 (-19.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FRES -3.9 (+1.1) | 131.2 (-20.2) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | WYO 92 – 82 FRES |
| Jan 18, 2026 | FRES 63 – 60 WYO |
| Mar 5, 2025 | FRES 62 – 58 WYO |
| Jan 29, 2025 | WYO 83 – 72 FRES |
| Mar 13, 2024 | FRES 77 – 73 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FRES | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 4-14 |
| Home | 7-7 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-9 | 1-8 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-6 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.5 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#161) | -1.4 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#257) | -0.98 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#223) | -1.02 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#255) | 0.444 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FRES | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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