Betting Lines
| Spread | PSU -30.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PSU +14 | 106 | Won |
| Massey | PSU -28.4 (-14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (-36.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PSU -23.8 (-9.8) | 139.7 (-33.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PSU -23.2 (-9.2) | 144.6 (-38.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PSU -26.2 (-12.2) | 144.3 (-38.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PSU -25.5 (-11.5) | 140.5 (-34.5) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2023 | PSU 79 – 45 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PSU | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-14 | 6-24 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 4-10 |
| Home | 13-3 | 4-8 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 75.8 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#50) | -13.9 (#352) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.67 (#52) | -3.59 (#360) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.32 (#50) | -4.84 (#361) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#57) | 0.387 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PSU | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 39.8% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 6.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.87 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 12.6% | 24.9% |
| ORB% | 18.5% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 15.7% | 15.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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