Betting Lines
| Spread | FOR -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | FOR +110 DAV -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FOR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +14 | 100 | Lost |
| Massey | FOR -5.1 (-19.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (-49.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FOR -4.4 (-18.4) | 148.9 (-48.9) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FOR -3.1 (-17.1) | 147.1 (-47.1) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FOR -4.0 (-18.0) | 148.1 (-48.1) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FOR -4.0 (-18.0) | 148.9 (-48.9) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | FOR 63 – 59 DAV |
| Jan 22, 2026 | DAV 68 – 63 FOR |
| Feb 22, 2025 | DAV 80 – 69 FOR |
| Jan 11, 2025 | DAV 74 – 64 FOR |
| Mar 12, 2024 | FOR 71 – 63 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FOR | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 18-2 | 7-8 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 68.8 |
| Massey | -0.0 (#171) | -0.4 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.14 (#39) | 0.57 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.59 (#46) | 0.96 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#80) | 0.555 (#82) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FOR | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 31.7% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 17.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.