Betting Lines
| Spread | PUR -37.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PUR +33 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | PUR -34.6 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.1 (-1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PUR -31.9 (+1.1) | 135.4 (-4.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PUR -26.1 (+6.9) | 133.0 (-2.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PUR -24.8 (+8.2) | 138.7 (-7.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PUR -33.0 (-0.0) | 137.5 (-6.5) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PUR | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 7-22 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-2 | 4-7 |
| Away | 7-3 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 58.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.7 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 14.9 (#11) | -14.9 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.78 (#2) | -3.02 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.73 (#2) | -3.78 (#350) |
| RPI | 0.690 (#1) | 0.401 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PUR | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 41.7 | 27.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 0.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 43.0% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 25.9% |
| ORB% | 38.4% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 30.8% | 16.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.6% | 57.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 59.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.2% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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